NFL Pick Of The Day – Falcons @ Chargers – Who Covers The Spread
Las Vegas sportsbooks opened San Diego (4-7 straight up, 4-6-1 against the spread) as a 4-point favorite with the total set at 48. As of early this morning, the Chargers were 4.5 at most books with the total adjusted to 49.
Atlanta (7-4 straight up, 7-4 against the spread) is off one of its best performances of the season, crushing Carolina 45-28 to stay in the NFC South race. The Falcons took the cash as 1-point home favorites, while the 73 combined points went way over the 41-point total. Michael Turner ran for 117 yards and 4-TDs. Atlanta rookie wide receiver Harry Douglas scored the first two TDs of his career against the Panthers. Douglas also had four receptions for 92 yards.
Michael Turner has escaped the shadow of LaDainian Tomlinson after signing with the Falcons as a free agent in the off-season. The former Charger has rushed for 1,088 yards and 13 touchdowns, averaging 4.3 yards per carry. As for Tomlinson, his production is down this year. LT has 770 rushing yards and five TDs, averaging just 3.8 YPC.
San Diego has lost back-to-back games and four of its last five. Nevertheless, the Chargers still have plenty of hope as they trail the AFC West-leading Broncos by just two games. They will meet in San Diego in the regular-season finale for both squads.
Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan appears to be on his way to earning Rookie of the Year honors. The Boston College product has demonstrated steady improvement on a weekly basis, prompting some to suggest he might be the best rookie QB in NFL history. Ryan has an 11/6 touchdown-interception ratio for the season, but he has only been picked off once in the last four games. He has 220 passing yards or more in each of the last six games. San Diego QB Philip Rivers has completed 65.8 percent of his passes for 2,801 yards with a 23/10 TD-INT ratio.
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