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Archive for September, 2009

College Football Pick Of The Day – Hawaii @ LA Tech – Who Covers The Spread

Wednesday, September 30th, 2009

The Pros at FiveStarPick.com are on a real heater right now going 17-3 against the spread in our last 20 featured matchups.  Tonight we will be giving our members the against the spread winner of the Hawaii/Louisiana Tech game at 8pm on ESPN2.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Bulldogs as 4-point home favorites with a total of 55.5.  THIS LINE IS DEAD WRONG.  On Monday, the number was 2 ½ at most books, but it shot up to four by late Tuesday afternoon.

What prompted such a spike in the line? Probably all the tough travel schedule for Hawaii, which had to go all the way to Louisiana from Honolulu on Monday.

The Warriors opened their season with a 25-20 home win over Central Arkansas in a non-lined game.  Then the warriors ventured to Seattle where they crushed Washington State, 38-20, as a two-point road favorite. Hawaii stayed on the West coast and prepped for Week 3 at UNLV, but eventually lost a 34-33 decision at Sam Boyd Stadium.  The Warriors hooked up their backers as 7 ½-point road underdogs…which is all that really matters.  

Louisiana Tech began the year with back-to-back road losses to Auburn (37-13) and Navy (32-14), but Tech bounced back in its home opener by rolloing over Nicholls St., 48-13, in a non-lined affair.

Tech QB Ross Jenkins led the Bulldogs by completing 21-of-30 passes for 357 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Freshman RB Tyrone Duplessis ran for 71 yards on just eight carries and Daniel Porter and D.J. Morrow both had TD runs.

Porter and his Bulldogs will face a Hawaii run defense that’s giving up 126.7 rushing yards per game. This unit had only two returning starters and one of those, senior LB Brashton Satele, has been lost for the season with a torn labrum.

Hawaii senior QB Greg Alexander has had an outstanding in 2009 completing 67.2 percent of his passes for 1,234 yards with a 9-2 TD/INT ratio.  Wideout Greg Salas has also been on top of his game with 20 receptions for 479 yards and four touchdowns.

So who covers the spread in this matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

NFL Monday Night Football Picks – Panthers @ Cowboys – Who Covers The Spread

Monday, September 28th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a monster weekend in college and pro football.  Yesterday added to the cashflow substantially as we gave our over 3000 members the Eagles -7, Colts +3, Colts/Cards Under 48.5 and a two team parlay in the Sunday night game.  Our dime bettors had a $5,600 day.  Today we are giving our members the winner of tonight’s Monday Night Football game as the Carolina Panthers take on the Dallas Cowboys.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Cowboys as 8.5 point home favorites with a total of 48.

The first Monday Night Football Game in the new Cowboys Stadium happens tonight, as 1-1 Dallas hosts winless Carolina. Last Sunday night in the home opener, Romo threw three interceptions in the two-point loss to the Giants. Dallas failed to cover as three-point favorites.

Carolina, meanwhile, is really in a bad funk. Not only are they 0-2, but went 0-4 in the preseason.  The Panthers have lost to two of last year’s playoff teams so far in the Eagles and Falcons.  Jake Dellhome completed 11 passes against Philadelphia, but four of them were to players in Eagles’ uniforms.  The Panthers committed seven turnovers in the opener, despite allowing less than 300 yards to Philadelphia.  Carolina was then defeated on the road in Atlanta, 28-20, not covering the spread as six-point dogs.

For the third straight week, the Panthers will be listed as ‘dogs;  which is weird because Carolina has always been known as a great road ‘dog play going 22-7-1 ATS from 2002-2006. Since the start of the 2007 season, the Panthers are just 5-8 against the spread when receiving points on the road.

Cowboys’ RB Marion Barber is listed as ‘questionable’ with a strained quad, so look for Felix Jones and Tashard Choice to shoulder the load.

This is the first trip to Dallas for the Panthers since 2003.  The Cowboys won a 24-20 decision as three-point home favorites.  Dallas has won each of the last three outings in Charlotte, with the last meeting coming in 2007.

Now let’s talk trends…The Cowboys are 1-5 against the spread on Monday Night since 2005, with the lone spread win coming as dogs at Philly in a 21-20 victory in ‘05.  The Panthers are 2-3 against the spread on Monday Nights since Fox became the head coach.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

College Football Pick Of The Day – Missouri @ Nevada – Who Covers The Spread

Friday, September 25th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com continued their winning streak against the spread last night by giving our members South Carolina +5.  You got to love a home dog in the SEC on a Thursday Night.  Today we will be giving our members the against the spread winner of Missouri/Nevada.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Tigers as 7-point road favorites with a total of 60. 

Many experts thought Nevada would be a buster for many teams this year, but watching pre-season film on how to defend the Wolfpack’s patented ‘Pistol’ offense has paid off so far for Nevada’s opponents.  Notre Dame certainly had the Wolf Pack’s style figured out when they crushed them 35-0 as a 14-point home favorite.

After the Notre Dame shalacking, Nevada went to Ft. Collins and lost 35-20 to Colorado St. as a 3.5-point road favorite.  The Wolf Pack had five turnovers in the game which greatly contibuted to their demise.

Nevada’s star running back, Taua, hasn’t been the issue.  He’s averaging 6.5 yards per carry (32 carries, 209 rushing yards).   The big problem problem so far has been Kaepernick, who had an outstanding 22/7 touchdown-interception ratio in ’08.  This year he has been intercepted four times already and has just one TD pass in his last two outings.

Gary Pinkel’s Missouri team, on the other hand, was dismissed by every touter in the business due to the loss of key playmakers like Chase Daniel, Jeremy Maclin, Chase Coffman and William Moore.  But the Tigers look like Big 12 contenders so far through three games going 3-0 SU and 1-1 against the spread.  Missouri dominated Illinois in their season opener, 37-9, as a seven-point dog.  The Tigers paid off money-line backers with a +240 payout.

After the opener, Missouri had somewhat of a letdown, finally rallying past Bowling Green for a 27-20 home win. The Tigers failed to cover the 18-point spread as home favorites against the Falcons. Last week they disposed of Furman early and often in a 52-12 victory in a non-lined matchup.

With both teams playing on a short week of preparation, the visiting team is usually at a disadvantage since it has to travel.  However, Pinkel and his Missouri Tigers have refuted any such notion this week.

So who covers the spread in this matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com for a month ($99.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

College Football Pick Of The Day – Ole Miss @ South Carolina – Who Covers The Spread

Thursday, September 24th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com will be giving our members the winner of tonight’s ESPN College Football game between the Rebels of Ole Miss and the South Carolina Gamecocks.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Rebels as 5-point road favorites with a total of 53.

The Rebels are currently sitting at No. 4 in the Associated Press poll and they have won eight straight, the second-longest current streak in the country. In addition, Ole Miss looked strong in the Cotton Bowl dropping the Red Raiders of Texas Tech 47-34, but the team hasn’t had to face a quality opponent in 2009, with easy wins over Memphis and Southeastern Louisiana. 

Coach Steve Spurrier and the Gamecocks, on the other hand, kicked off the Thursday night season with a pillow fight at N.C. State.  South Carolina won that game 7-3.  But one week later the Gamecocks made up for the borefest at Georgia for their SEC opener; a game Spurries team would eventually lose, 41-37, in a wild one.  After beating Florida Atlantic last weekend, South Carolina is sitting at 2-1 and a win over Ole Miss would set them up nicely for the rest of their schedule.

Gamecock sophomore quarterback Stephen Garcia has certainly done a much better job taking care of the ball to start this season and had a 313 yard, two-touchdown performance against Georgia.  On the other side of the ball, signal caller Jevan Snead was probably the single biggest reason the Rebels received a Top 10 preseason ranking.

On defense for the Gamecocks senior LB Eric Norwood is beyond happy to know that his defensive line will get DT Ladi Ajiboye (suspension) and Nathan Pepper (knee) back for this game. It will be the closest to full strength that this unit has been all season and that could be bad news for Mississippi, especially when you consider this program hasn’t won a SEC opener in five years, with the last two losses coming at the hands of Vanderbilt.  Snead will definitely have to be on top of his game in hostile territory for the Rebels to break that streak and a win would give Ole Miss a 3-0 start for the first time in 20 years.

This line opened with Ole Miss being favored by three points and has since jumped to five. Both teams are currently undefeated against the spread although South Carolina looks much more impressive at 3-0 ATS than does Ole Miss who has only played in one lined game.

So who covers the spread in this matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com for a month ($99.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

Monday Night Football Picks – Colts @ Dolphins – Who Covers The Spread

Monday, September 21st, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a sizzling weekend of college and pro football as we have given our members winners in 10 of our last 12 picks against the spread.  Tonight will be no different as we handicap the Monday Night Football matchup between the Indianapolis Colts and the Miami Dolphins.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Colts as 3-point road favorites with a total of 42. 

The Colts didn’t look great in their 14-12 victory over the Jaguars last Sunday but they did get head a win. Peyton Manning was efficient (28-of-38 for 301 yards) and Wide receiver Reggie Wayne (10 catches, 162 yards) became the main option for Manning after Anthony Gonzalez went down early with a knee injury early in the game.  Gonzalez could miss up to eight weeks, so the Colts signed WR Hank Baskett who was cut by the Eagles last week.  Jacksonville lost at 31-17 at home on Sunday to Arizona, so it’s hard to tell if the Colts’ defense is any good, especially without the duties of safety Bob Sanders.

Miami looked like shit last week on the road in Atlanta and lost 19-7 . The Dolphins’ offense (259 yards) struggled from the start and they failed to convert on third downs (4-of-11) all game long.  Plus, the Fins had four costly turnovers. Defensively, the Dolphins were great against the run (68 yards) but QB Matt Ryan (229 yards, 2 TDs) crushed the Fins secondary.

The Dolphins’ secondary will be on the ropes again this week as Peyton Manning tests rookiesVontae Davis and Sean Smith.  Even though Manning will be shorthanded without the crafty Gonzalez, tight end Dallas Clark could roam the middle freely like the Falcons’ Tony Gonzalez (5 catches, 73 yards) did last Sunday.

Indianapolis went 6-3 SU on the road last year but was only 2-3-1 ATS as a road favorite.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

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