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Archive for October, 2009

Texas @ Missouri – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Saturday, October 24th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to another profitable Saturday in College Football. The focus of today’s preview is the Big 12 matchup between the Texas Longhorns and the Missouri Tigers.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Longhorns as 13-point road favorites with a total of 49.

Texas (6-0 SU, 1-4 ATS) is coming off survival game beating Oklahoma 16-13 in the Red River Shootout. The Longhorns will face another tough test this week  as they head to Columbia to take on Missouri (4-2 SU, 2-3 ATS). Gary Pinkel’s Tigers weren’t expected to contend this year in the Big 12 after losing many key players to the NFL.  However, Missouri got off to a 4-0 start an showed that there is some depth in the Missouri roster.

This will be the third straight ranked opponent for the Longhorns and most bettors believe it will be another victory for Longhorn Quarterback Colt McCoy.  What is interesting is that this year, the Texas defense (246 YPG, 14.7 PPG) is getting all the press allowing only 36 YPG on the ground.  After averaging 36.8 PPG in the first four games, the Tigers and QB Blaine Gabbert have put up a total of only 29 in the last two.

This game is not an easy game to handicap, but the pros at FiveStarPick.com have broken down every stat, trend, injury report and weather forcast on this game to provide our members with a winning play.  Try FiveStarPick.com today for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our wins and losses, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Florida State @ North Carolina – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Thursday, October 22nd, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to another winner tonight as the Florida State Seminoles travel to Chapel Hill to take on the North Carolina Tar Heels.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Tar Heels as 2.5-point home favorites with a total of 47.

The once proud Seminoles are now a crappy 2-4 on the season and the former Top 10 program that was always competing for National Championships has a defense ranked 107th in the nation.  As a matter of fact, the Noles are now scrambling to win games at home against Jacksonville State.  But they do have some of the hottest chicks on campus…Sorry, back to the preview.

The only positives with the Seminoles this season is that the offense seems to be progressing.  Against Miami, BYU and Georgia Tech, three tough programs, the Seminoles have averaged 44 points and 485 yards of total offense.  Against Jacksonville State, Boston College and South Florida that same unit averaged just 15 points and 367 yards total offense.  Can you say Jekyll and Hyde?

Whatever the reason for the production differences, QB Christian Ponder is one of the best signal callers in college football completing nearly 68% of his passes for 1,781 yards (10th in the nation) and a 9/1 TD-INT ratio. In addition, Ponder is throwing for just under 297 yards a game, the best in the ACC.  He has a number of talented receivers in the lineup including Bert Reed, Richard Goodman and Taiwan Easterling, but the FSU defense can’t seem to ever get off the field to let him do his thing.  As I mentioned earlier, the Seminoles rank 107th in the nation in total defense.  They have no pass rush and there corners couldn’t cover a dead guy in a morgue with a sheet.

But I have to say, North Carolina ain’t much better. What’s interesting is that the Heels have the opposite problems of the Nols.  North Carolina has a horrific offense that ranks 117th nationally, but their defense ranks 3rd in the nation.  The Tar Heels have held four of their six opponents to under 100 yards rushing. DE Robert Quinn has 7 sacks and 3 forced fumbles, while CB Charles Brown and FS Deunta Williams both have 2 interceptions on the season. Butch Davis thinks he has a star RB on offense in Ryan Houston (seven rushing touchdowns), but Tar Heel QB T.J. Yates is only throwing for 161 yards a game and has 6 touchdowns against 7 interceptions.

This game is not an easy game to handicap, but the pros at FiveStarPick.com have broken down every stat, trend, injury report and weather forcast on this game to provide our members with a winning play.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our wins and losses, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Tulsa @ UTEP – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Wednesday, October 21st, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com want to congratulate Tuesday’s new members on their first win as the ‘Over 8′ in the Yankees/Angels game covered in the 8th inning last night. Remember…statistical probability always trumps luck. Tonight we are giving our members a play on tonight’s college football matchup between the Tulsa Golden Hurricanes and the UTEP Miners. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Golden Hurricanes as 7.5-point road favorites with a total of 58.

Tulsa (4-2 straight up, 3-1-1 against the spread) gave the undefeated Boise State Broncos all they could handle last week as 9.5 point dogs, but the FiveStarPick.com staff was pissed that neither team could score a touchdown with more than 9 minutes remaining in the game to cover our play on the ’Over 53′. The Golden Hurricane got the ball back twice with a chance to tie, but they couldn’t muster a first down. Therefore, the 49 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 53-point total.

Golden Hurricane QB Kinne completed 14-of-27 passes for 154 yards with two touchdowns and zero interceptions. The Texas transfer has completed 61.9 percent of his throws for 1,296 yards with an outstanding 12/2 touchdown-interception ratio.  Kinne has got a stallion in the stable in wide receiver Damaris Johnson, who has 24 receptions for 428 yards and a pair of TDs.  Johnson also runs the ball and has 118 rushing yards on just 15 carries.

UTEP (2-4 SU, 2-4 against the spread) was off last week, but in their last game at Memphis, the Miners lost 35-20 as 1-point road favorites.  UTEP is 1-2 both SU and against the spread at home this year. They opened the season with a 23-17 loss to Buffalo as an 11-point home favorite.  In Week 2, Kansas crushed them at home, 34-7, as a 13 ½-point road favorite.  Week 3 got the Miners their first win, a 38-12 triumph at New Mexico St. as a 14-point road favorites; and then another let down on the road at Texas, losing by a 64-7 count as 36-point dogs.

What really throws us for a loop about UTEP is that in Week 5 they beat the Houston Cougars, 58-41. Houston, a ranked team that had previously beaten Oklahoma St. and Texas Tech…and have a Heisman hopefull under center, were manhandled by the Miners.  Beyond unexpected… 

UTEP Junior QB Trevor Vittatoe has not been as impressive this year as he was in 2008. Vittatoe has seen his completion percentage drop 6 points this year and has turned a 33/9 TD-INT ratio from 2008 into an abysmal 5/7 ratio this year.  Miner RB Donald Buckram is the go-to guy for UTEP rushing for 618 yards and six touchdowns. He averages 6.4 yards per carry to date, but blew the doors off the Houtson Cougar defense rushing for 262 yards and four TDs.

The home team has won five in a row in this series. When these schools met last year, Tulsa had a NCAA season-high 791 yards of total offense in a 77-35 win as an 18-point home favorites.

So who covers the spread tonight?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our wins and losses, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Broncos @ Chargers – Monday Night Football Picks Against The Spread

Sunday, October 18th, 2009

Well…it couldn’t last forever. After a 14-1 against the spread run in our last 15, we got the crap kicked out of us going 0-2 against the spread yesterday in the NFL. We take losses personally around here, so I can promise you that we are focused on Monday Night Football. Tonight the Broncos (5-0 straight up, 5-0 against the spread) travel down to play San Diego (2-2 straight up, 1-3 against the spread) in an AFC West clash. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Chargers as 3.5-point home favorites with a total of 44.

During the Phillip Rivers era, the Chargers have been a favorite to win the AFC almost every year. But another slow start has made most touters questioning their game.  The Bolts are giving up an average of 365 yards per game, including 151 YPG on the ground.  In addition, opponents are averaging 20-plus points a game, twice allowing 30-plus.  Luckily for the Chargers, the Broncos don’t have a great offense (19.8 PPG, 376 YPG), but they do have the league’s best defense (8.6 PPG, 252 YPG).  The Broncos defense held Cincinnati to 7, Dallas to 10 and New England to 17, but they will face a balanced offensive attack tonight as the Chargers are averaging 25.3 PPG and 349 YPG. Quarterback Philip Rivers has passed for 1,245 yards and 6 TDs this year and Sproles and Tomlinson will be very tough to defend.

The Broncos have lost five of their last six games against San Diego. Their only win was Week 2 last season when Ed Hochuli’s blew that last minute call in the end zone and the Broncos won 39-38 in mile high stadium. During this six-game stretch, San Diego has posted scoring totals of 52, 38, 23, 41, 48 and 35 for an average of 39.5 PPG.

A lot has happened since last year as the Broncos fired head coach Mike Shanahan and traded All-Pro quarterback Jay Cutler to Chicago. Their two replacements, Josh McDaniels and Kyle Orton, have given the Mile High City some hope. Orton has passed for 1,236 yards and 7 touchdowns on the season. He has thrown only 1 INT this year and it came on a hail-mary attempt in the first half of last week’s 20-17 overtime victory against the Patriots.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Buffalo Bills @ New York Jets – Winning NFL Picks Against The Spread

Sunday, October 18th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a monster Saturday going 3-0 against the spread for our members. As a matter of fact, we are 14-1 against the spread in our last 15. Damn that’s some good stuff!!! If you want to dive deeper into the FiveStar legend, our members went 5-0 against the spread in the NFL last week…But enough about us. Today we are giving our members two (2) plays in the NFL.  The focus of this preview is the 4pm matchup between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Jets as 9-point favorites with a total of 36.5.

Coach Rex Ryan is looking for redemption.  After taking the Jets to their first 3-0 start in years, they have lost their last two (2) games both straight up and against the spread.  Today, the Jets may have an ideal chance to change course against the crappy Buffalo Bills who are on their own 3-game losing streak.

New York (3-2 straight up, 3-2 against the spread) won there first three games behind a superb defense that allowed 11.0 PPG and 256.0 YPG while forcing 7 turnovers. Ryan’s Jets had the same swagger he instilled in his defense in Baltimore, where he spent the last 10 years. The Jets defense, however, seems to have lost their swagger in consecutive losses. The unit allowed 343 yards in a 24-10 defeat at New Orleans on Oct. 4 and gave up season highs in passing yards (262) and total yardage (413) en route to a 31-27 defeat at Miami on Monday night. (FiveStarPick.com gave its members the Dolphins +2.5 and the Over 36 in that game…both winners.)

Despite the back-to-back losses, New York is tied for first in the AFC East with the Pats and the Buffalo Bills (1-4 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) might just be the ticket to getting that Jet defense back on track.

Buffalo has lost their last two games to winless teams while totaling an abysmal 494 yards of total offense and turning the ball over six times.  The Bills committed 13 penalties in a 6-3 loss to Cleveland in Week 5, which brings the Bills win total to 4 in their last 17 games under Dick Jauron.  In addition, Buffalo has been outscored 71-20 during their three-game skid and Edwards hasn’t been able to open up a passing attack with wide receivers Terrell Owens and Lee Evans. They each have 12 catches and a touchdown while combining for 361 yards.

So who covers the spread in today’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

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