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Archive for October, 2009

Arkansas @ Florida – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Friday, October 16th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off another great win last night as Pitt covered the 6-point spread on the road at Rutgers. That makes it a cool 12-1 against the spread in our last 13. Today should be no different as we give our members new winners in three (3) lined affairs.  The focus of this preview is the 3:30pm game on CBS where the top-ranked Florida Gators(5-0 SU, 2-1 Against The Spread) take on the Arkansas Razorbacks (3-2 SU, 2-2 Against The Spread).  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Gators as 25-point home favorites with a total of 58.

With or without QB Tim Tebow, Florida has dominated the Razorbacks in this series. UF has won and covered their last seven in a row against Arkansas and by big margins. Last year, the Gators beat Arkansas 38-7 as 26 ½-point road favorites and this season, the Gators own the best defense in the country (202 YPG, 6.4 PPG).

But if there is a team that might challenge the #1 team in the country, then this year’s Arkansas Razorbacks might be the team.  The Hogs are putting up staggering numbers averaging 451 YPG and 37 PPG on the season. The only game they have struggled with was at Alabama, losing 35-7.  Florida is 11-3 Against The Spread as home favorites in their last three seasons.

So who covers the spread today?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our wins and losses, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Pittsburgh @ Rutgers – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Friday, October 16th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a scary victory last night as we gave our members Cincinnati -2.5 at South Florida. After Tony Pike went down in the 3rd quarter, we thought the game was over for the Cats.  But in came the future of Cincinnati Football…Zach Collaros and man is that boy a baller. Another win against the spread for the good guys.

Today we will be previewing the 2nd Big East matchup in as many nights as the Pittsburgh Panthers travel to Rutgers to take on the Scarlet Knights.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list Pittsburgh (5-1 straight up, 3-2 against the spread) as 5.5-point road favorites with a total of 48.5.

Pittsburgh already has a pair of Big East victories. They crushed Louisville two Fridays ago, 35-10, then captured a 24-21 win over UConn last week, rallying from 15-points down to take out the Huskies on an 18-yard field goal as time expired. Pitt failed to cover the 6.5-points and left many Pitt backers a little lighter in the pocket.

Rutgers (4-1 SU, 1-2 against the spread) will get the more favorable spot tonight in terms of schedule.  Pitt has to travel and play on a short week, while the Scarlet Knights are coming off an bye.  Before the bye week, Rutgers made chili out of Texas Southern 42-0 at home. Since losing 47-15 in their season opener to Cincinnati, Rutgers has won four consecutive games against Howard (45-7), FIU (23-15), Maryland (34-13) and Texas So.

Tom Savage will make his fourth career start at QB for Rutgers. The true freshman has a 4/0 touchdown-interception ratio, but this will be Savage’s first real test against Big East competition. Rutgers will face a defense that ranks third in the nation in sacks (4 per game), so the freshman QB could get a little rattled in the pocket.

Stull has been awesome this season for Pitt. The fifth-year senior has completed 66.7 percent of his throws for 1,256 yards with a 13/3 TD-INT ratio.  Part of Stull’s success is his two wide-outs in Dickerson and Baldwin. On the season, Dickerson has 21 receptions for 232 yards and seven TDs, while Baldwin has 27 catches for 532 yards and three TDs. On the ground they have found a gem in Dion Lewis, who has 738 rushing yards and seven TDs. Lewis is averaging 5.6 yards per carry.

FiveStarPick.com’s weather analysis shows a strong chance of rain and temperatures in the low-40’s at kickoff. The wind-chill factor could be as low as the 30’s.

So who covers the spread tonight?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Cincinnati @ South Florida – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Thursday, October 15th, 2009

Well…after a 9-0 run against the spread in our last nine, the pros at FiveStarPick.com were handed our first loss in over a week as the Boise St/Cincinnati game failed to eclipse the 55.5 point closing ‘Total’. These teams had 7:47 remaining in the game to score a touchdown and hit the ‘Over’, but they could’nt do it…such BS, but we have to move on!  Today we are handicapping tonight’s Big East matchup between the Cincinnati Bearcats and the South Florida Bulls. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Bearcats as 2.5 point-road favorites with a ‘Total’ of 49.

Five games ago I doubt any of us would have said that South Florida and Cincinnati would be 5-0, but they are and tonight will be a great matchup in what should be a rockin’ Raymond James Stadium.

The South Florida Bulls were especially a surprise at 5-0 seeing that they lost one of their best players when QB Matt Grothe suffered a torn ACL in his left knee in the Bulls’ 59-0 blowout victory against Charleston Southern.

Coach Jim Leavitt called up redshirt freshman QB B.J. Daniels and the Bull’s offense hasn’t missed a beat.  The team is third in the league in total offense averaging 413.6 yards a game and second in the conference in rushing (190.8 YPG).  Daniels ranks eighth in the conference in rushing (58 YPG) and is seventh in passing (120 YPG), completing 57.1 percent of his attempts.

Bulls WR Carlton Mitchell leads the team with 21 catches for 377 yards and 3 touchdowns. His last big play was an 85-yard touchdown reception in the win over Syracuse. He is close to setting the USF record for receiving yards in just his junior year.

But what about the South Florida defense?  South Florida currently ranks fifth in the Big East in scoring defense, allowing less than 10 points per game and they are holding opponents to a conference-low 263 yards per game in total defense. USF has allowed opponents only four touchdowns in 13 trips inside the red-zone, but they will have to get some pressure on Cincy QB Tony Pike if they want to continue their success.  The Bearcats have only given up three sacks in five games.

Tony Pike, in our opinion, is the REAL DEAL and he will no doubt look early and often to WR Mardy Gilyard who has 38 receptions for 517 yards and seven touchdowns this season. The senior receiver is also a special teams stud, averaging 21.7 yards on kick returns.

Working a spread offense mainly out of the shotgun, Pike usually passes the ball, but make no mistake, the Bearcats can run the ball too with RB Jacob Ramsey in the backfield.  Ramsey lit up Miami (Ohio) for 103 yards and three touchdowns.  Cincinnati ranks fourth nationally in scoring offense.

Now let’s talk trends…Cincy leads the series 4-2 straight up, but the Bulls are 2-1 against the spread at home against the Bearcats. That said, the last time Cincy travelled to South Florida in 2007, the Bearcats managed to pull out a victory, 38-33. Cincinnati also won last year’s meeting, 24-10, at home.

So who covers the spread tonight?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Boise State @ Tulsa – College Football Picks Against The Spread

Wednesday, October 14th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are back in action tonight coming off a much need night off. It is always good to take a breather after a stellar 9-0 against the spread run for our members. Tonight we are hot on the Boise State/Tulsa game aired on ESPN. Las Vegas sportsbooks opened the Broncos as 8-point favorites. Now most books have bumped the Broncos to 9 or 9.5.

Since taking over for Dan Hawkins, Chris Petersen picked up where Dan left off as the Broncos have won 40 of 44 games, compiling a 25-15 against the spread record. The Broncos opened the season with a 19-8 home win over Oregon, followed by a 48-0 crushing of Miami (OH.) as 40-point home favorites. BSU went on the road in Weeks 3 and 4, beating Fresno St. (51-34) and Bowling Green (49-14).

Tulsa (4-1 SU, 2-1-1 against the spread) is coming off a 27-10 win at Rice as a 17-point road favorite.  QB G.J. Kinne completed 21-of-32 passes for 251 yards and no interceptions. 

The Texas transfer has a competion percentage of 64.1% for 1,142 yards with a 10/2 touchdown-interception ratio.  Kinne struggled at Oklahoma in a 45-0 loss. He threw two interceptions against the Sooners and had just 106 passing yards.  Damaris Johnson is the Tulsa’s premier playmaker with a team-high 20 receptions for 369 yards and one TD. Johnson had 245 yards of total offense against Rice and returned a punt for a score in their win at Tulane.

Boise State sophomore QB Kellen Moore has been awesome in the spread offense completing 69.7 percent of his throws for 1,217 yards with a 13/2 TD-INT ratio.  He loves to throw the ball to Austin Pettis, who has 28 receptions for 378 yards and six touchdowns.  Jeremy Avery is carrying BSU’s rushing load, gaining 441 yards on 72 carries. He’s averaging 6.1 yards per carry with one touchdown.

Now let’s talk trends… Since 2003, Tulsa owns a 6-2 against the spread record as a home dog.  Boise St. is already 2-0 against the spread as a road favorite this year. The Broncos went 4-1 against the spread last year as road favorites.

Now let’s talk injuries…Tulsa’s free safety Charles Davis is out for the season (knee) and Boise State’s OT Tyler Holmes is out indefinately (broken leg).

So who covers the spread tonight?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

NFL Monday Night Football Picks – Jets @ Dolphins – Who Covers The Spread

Monday, October 12th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off of a monster weekend in College and NFL football. With a 6-2 against the spread ledger in College Football on Saturday and a 3-0 against the spread mark in the NFL on Sunday, I would say our members had a few extra duckets in their sportsbook account this morning.  Which brings us to the Monday Night Football game tonight between the Jets and Dolphins. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Jets as 2.5-point road favorties with a total 36. The line has come down from 3.5 since yesterday.

The last time the Jets and Dolphins played against each other, the hype was all about Chad Pennington and Brett Favre having a shot at the AFC East title. Miami won on the road, 24-17, giving the Dolphins their first AFC East title since 2000 and erasing the 1-15 2007 season from everyone’s mind.  Since then, Favre has moved on to Minnesota, while Pennington is out for the season with a right shoulder injury suffered at San Diego.

The Jets are an impressive 3-1 straight up, thanks to a strong defense.  New York has allowed only 3 offensive touchdowns this season and they have played 4 teams that rank in the top half of the league in yards per game.

On the offensive side of the ball, Jets Rookie Mark Sanchez is leading the attack.  He has been incredibly stable with only 4 turnovers in his first 3 games. However, the Jets equaled that combined turnover amount in the New Orleans loss.  Sanchez had a 272-yard effort in the opening week win at Houston, 24-7, but has failed to throw for more than 175 yards in each of his last 3 games. Sanchez does have help at wide receiver with Braylon Edwards moving over from the Browns last offseason.

The Dolphins lead the NFL in rushing with pros Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams in the backfield. The Dolphins are still running the ”Wildcat” offense successfully with Ronnie Brown in a shotgun formation, but the running attack is not the only high statistical ranking they have, they also rank second in the league in rushing defense, only allowing 61 yards/game.

Miami has had one of the most difficult starting schedules, facing three playoff teams in the Falcons, Colts, and Chargers. The Dolphins started the season 0-3 straight-up and 0-3 against the spread. Miami was held below 300 yards in total offense in losses at Atlanta and San Diego, but rushed for 239 yards against Indianapolis in a 27-23 loss and 250 yards on the ground in a 38-10 blowout of Buffalo last week.

Chad Henne will be making his second career start on Monday, in place of the injured Pennington.  Henne was put in after Pennington went down in San Diego, but the Chargers eventually took the lead on a Phillip Rivers touchdown run, then sealed the game with a late game interception return for a touchdown off Henne for a 23-13 victory.

Now lets talk trends…The Jets are 8-2 SU their last ten meetings, while posting an 8-1-1 against the spread mark. The Dolphins are 3-8 against the spread at home, including a 1-4 against the spread record as a home ‘dog under Sparano. Since 2004, Miami is 4-12 against the spread at home off a SU victory, including a 1-5 against the spread mark last season.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com

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