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Archive for November, 2009

Eagles @ Bears – Sunday Night NFL Picks Against The Spread

Sunday, November 22nd, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to a brilliant day in the NFL as we give our members several plays on today’s board.  The focus of this preview is the Sunday Night game between the Philadelphia Eagles and the Chicago Bears.  Most books list the Eagles as 2.5-point road favorites with a total of 45.

Philadelphia has lost their last two games and tonight’s game will be Philly’s second consecutive road game.  The birds currently sit at 5-4 on the season, a game behind the division leading Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles are coming off a 31-23 loss to the Chargers last week and looked completely one dimensional as they rushed for a measley 29 yards on 13 rushing attempts.  Running back Brian Westbrook suffered his 2nd concussion in 4 weeks against the bolts and is listed as questionable for tonight’s game. Starting quarterback Donovan McNabb threw the ball 55 times last week completing 35 of those passes for 450 yards, 2 TD’s and 1 interception. Philadelphia was terrible in the red zone converting on just 2 of 5 attempts.  On the defensive side of the ball the Eagles are pretty good allowing just 3.7 yards a carry.

The Chicago Bears are 4-5 on the season.  Jay Cutler is completing 62% of his passes, but has a  14:17 touchdown to interception ratio. RB Matt Forte struggled last week rushing the football and had just 41 yards on 20 carries. The Bears have been hit hard with injuries to their defense as well, but turned out a good effort last week against the 49ers. The Bears passing defense is ranked 5th in the NFL giving up just 195 yards per game.  They will need all their swagger to keep the pass happy Eagles at bay in this one.

So who covers the spread in Sunday’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

Ravens @ Browns – Monday Night Football Picks Against The Spread

Monday, November 16th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a 2-1 against the spread Sunday in the NFL as we gave our members the Dolphins -10, the Over 47 in the Chargers/Eagles and the Patriots +3 last night.  Today we are focused on Monday Night Football and the rivalry between the former Cleveland Browns and the current Cleveland Browns.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Baltimore Ravens as 11-point road favorties with a total of 39.5. 

Baltimore is currently sitting at 4-4 and is in desperate need of a victory.  The Ravens started the season winning three straight games. The offense was crushing opponents behind second-year quarterback Joe Flacco with victories over the Chiefs, Chargers, and Browns. Baltimore then proceeded to lose their next three games, falling to New England, Cincinnati and Minnesota.

The losses to the Bengals and Vikings could have gone either way. Cincinnati scored the go-ahead touchdown with under 30 seconds remaining and covered the 9-point spread, 17-14.  In Minnesota, Baltimore rallied from a 17-point fourth quarter deficit to take a late 31-30 lead, before Brett Favre and his 2-minute drill drove far enough down to kick the game-winning field goal. The Ravens covered as three-point road dogs, 33-31.

After a bye week, Baltimore thought they had it figured out pounding the unbeaten Denver Broncos, 30-7, but the Ravens could not capitalize off the Broncos’ victory losing to Cincinnati again the following week, 17-7.

The Browns have really sucked this season, and there are several reasons why…Eric Mangini, Brady Quinn and Derek Anderson.  Quinn got the starting job at the beginning of the season, but threw just one touchdown and three interceptions in three losses.  Quinn was benched in favor of Anderson, who didn’t play much better.  The lone Browns’ win was a 6-3 snore-fest at Buffalo under Anderson.

As fare as anyone reading this story is concerned, the Browns covered three straight games in which Anderson started including the Bengals, Bills and Steelers.  In the last two games Anderson started, the former Pro-Bowl QB led the Browns to a total of nine points in losses to the Packers and Bears.

Quinn will come of the bench tonight to try and rejuvinate his career and hopefully lead this Browns team to there 5th touchdown of the season.  Did I just say 5th touchdown of the season? Can that be right?

Baltimore has won the last three meetings against the Browns with the last Ravens win coming by the score of 34-3.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

South Florida @ Rutgers – Winning College Football Picks Against The Spread

Thursday, November 12th, 2009

The pros at FivStarPick.com are looking forward to tonight’s action as we give our members two plays on the board. The focus of this preview is our play on the Big East matchup between the South Florida Bulls and the Rutgers Scarlett Knights.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Scarlett Knights as 2.5-point home favorites with a total of 43.5. 

After some preseason hype on Rutgers, Cincinnati came out on opening day and spanked the Knights, 47-15. They took that loss on the chin, but with a win tonight, the 6-2 team will be eligible for a bowl game, their fifth postseason appearance in a row. 

The story this season for Rutgers has been turnovers. The Scarlet Knights have only given up 7 this year and have forced 25, the best turnover margin in the country. The issue for the Knights is true freshman quarterback Tom Savage.  Savage  hasn’t been great for Schiano but has managed games well and seems to get the ball to his playmakers.

Senior WR Tim Brown is a favorite target of Savage averaging 21.9 yards per catch, with five touchdowns on the year. The ground game features Joe Martinek, Jourdan Brooks, and freshman De’Antwan Williams who all give Rutgers great promise for the future.

On defense, Rutgers has held opposing offenses to 3.3 yards per carry through eight games, but the secondary has been known to give up some big plays through the air.

The South Florida offense has a great young talent in quarterback B.J. Daniels.  Daniels took over the starting role after All-Big East QB Matt Grothe blew out his knee in the third game of the season against Charleston Southern. Most fans of the Bulls thought that was the end of the season for USF, but Daniels has proven he’s the real deal on through the air and on the ground. He busted West Virginia last week for three touchdown passes while rushing for over 100 yards. Daniels and RB Moise Plancher will give Schiano’s defense all they can handle tonight, not only dealing with the double threat from Daniels, but WR Carlton Mitchell has 29 catches for 542 yards this season, including five receptions for over 50 yards.

On defense, the Bulls are led by DE George Selvie and DE Jason Pierre-Paul. Pierre-Paul, a junior college transfer, has two sacks, five hurries and 9.5 tackles for loss and has returned an interception for a touchdown.

This game is not an easy game to handicap, but the pros at FiveStarPick.com have broken down every stat, trend, injury report and weather forcast on this game to provide our members with a winning play.  Try FiveStarPick.com today for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our wins and losses, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Steelers @ Broncos – Monday Night Football Picks Against The Spread

Monday, November 9th, 2009

FiveStarPick.com is coming off a 1-1 against the spread Sunday for our members in the NFL as the Miami Dolphins covered the 11-point spread, but neither team could score points in the 4th quarter and the combined 44-points did not eclipse our 46-point Over play. Tonight is Monday Night football and The World Champion Pittsburgh Steelers are traveling to Denver to take on the hot Denver Broncos.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Steelers as 3-point road favorites with a total of 40.

The Broncos (6-1 straight up, 6-1 against the spread) suffered their first loss last Sunday, 30-7, to the Ravens as a four-point road underdog.  Denver’s record is not getting much respect in the world of sports betting and we can certainly understand why.  The Broncos are 20th in the NFL in scoring offense (20.0 points per game), 17th in passing offense (231.0 yards per game) and 11th in running the ball (123.1 YPG).  Depsite the avergae offensive numbers, Kyle Orton has been very good in Denver so far this season. He’s 12th among all quarterbacks with a 95.5 passer rating and has touchdown-to-interception ratio of 9:1.  Any NFL team would be happy to have a QB that manages turnovers like Orton.

Denver’s defense is what’s winning games for them this year. The Broncos have the second best scoring defense in the league (13.7 PPG), they are eighth against the pass (180.6 YPG) and third defending the run (86.1 YPG). The Broncos also have a mere 23 sacks this season.

The Broncos will need all their defensive prowess if they want to take down Pittsburgh (5-2 straight up, 2-5 against the spread). The Steelers are playing much better recently, winning four straight after dropping their second and third games of the season.

Pittsburgh has changed their gameplan recently by taking the ball more to the air, and less to the ground.  The Steelers are averaging 295.4 passing YPG in 2009 to rank 3rd in the NFL. Ben Roethlisberger has completed 70.4 percent of his passes for 2,062 yards and 11 touchdowns.

The Steelers still have a dominant defense. They are seventh in scoring defense (18.4 PPG) and second overall against the run (80.3 YPG).  Yet the secondary has had its troubles.  Pittsburgh has allowed 214.4 passing YPG in 2009; they were the best pass defense in 2008, allowing only 156.9 YPG through the air.

The Broncos have been a home dog twice already this season, winning outright both times. The Broncos are +130 on the money line tonight (risk $100 to win $130). This money line does not seem to add up to the pointspread. And that’s because bettors are heavy on the dog moneyline and heavy on the favorite pointspread.

Now let’s talk trends.  Pittsburgh is 7-7 straight up in their last two seasons as a road favorite, but only 4-10 against the spread. In 2009, the favorite has gone 4-2 against the spread on Monday night. Denver is 3-0 straight up and against the spread in its last three Monday Night Football games that they were a home underdog. Eight of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between the Broncos and Steelers have seen the ‘over’ cash tickets.

This game means the world to the Steelers as they are right in the thick of the AFC North hunt, but Denver’s world doesn’t end should they suffer a setback on Monday night.  A loss for the Broncos will keep them in first place, but by only one game against the Chargers.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Dolphins @ Patriots – Winning NFL Picks Against The Spread

Friday, November 6th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to a solid day for our membership today in the NFL as we give our members the ’spread’ and ‘total’ winner in today’s AFC rivalry game between the Dolphins and Patriots.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Patriots as 11-point home favorites with a total of 46.  THIS LINE IS DEAD WRONG!

Last week, Miami’s special teams got the job done against the Jets as Ted Ginn, Jr. ran two kickoffs back for touchdowns in a 30-25 victory.  The Dolphins produced just over 100 yards of offense against the Jets, but got the ‘W’ and improved to 3-4 on the season.  If Miami can play their game, they could beat New England for the second time in two years at Gillette Stadium.  Their last trip to Foxboro resulted in a “Wildcat” offense 38-13 blowout.  The Patriots dusted the worthless Bucs in jolly ole England two weeks ago and are coming off a bye.

We have analyzed a lot of trends this week and here is what we know…New England has not been profitable in this spot, going 1-8 against the spread as a double-digit home favorite since 2007.  In addition, the Pats are 6-8 against the spread in their last 14 coming off a double digit cover.

The Dolphins are a perfect 5-0 ATS under Sparano on the road off a SU win, while going 6-1 against the spread in their last seven as a double-digit road underdog. Miami is 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven on the road against division opponents, including a pair of covers in their previous two trips to Foxboro.

So who covers the spread in Sunday’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

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