NFL Monday Night Football Picks – Broncos @ Patriots – Who Covers The Spread
Monday, October 20th, 2008After a dismal weekend, FiveStarPick.com looks forward to bailing out its members in tonight’s game between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots. The Broncos have a great record in Foxboro, winning in each of their last 5 visits.
Las Vegas Sports Sportsbooks opened the Patriots (3-2 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) as a 4-point favorite with the total set at 44.5. Since then, the total has gone up to 49, and the line on the Pats has dropped to -3.5. The Broncos are +140 on the money line (risk $100 to win $140).
Denver (4-2 SU, 1-4-1 ATS) has failed cover in their last four games, including last week’s 24-17 loss to Jacksonville as a 3.5-point home favorites. The Broncos had three turnovers in the loss to the Jags but still have a 1.5 game lead over San Diego in the division.
Jay Cutler wasn’t great against Jacksonville throwing for only 192 yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT and a fumble. This season Cutler has a 64% completion percentag, 1,694 yards in the air and a 12/5 touchdown-interception ratio. Brandon Marshall has been Cutler’s top receiver with 43 receptions, 521 yards and 3 TDs. This could prove effective against the Patriots who are 27th in the NFL in pass defense. Veteran RB Michael Pittman will get the start tonight for the Broncos after running for 109 yards on 20 carries.
Now let’s talk about Matt Cassel. Matt has been sacked more than any other NFL quarterback (19 times) and has a 3/4 TD-INT ratio. In addition, he just got jacked in San Diego, 30-10. To add insult to serious injury, Laurence Maroney has missed the last three games and is listed as “questionable” against Denver. The Patriots have yet to record a 100-yard rushing game.
Now let’s talk trends. The over is 4-2 overall for Denver, 2-0 in its road games…however, the Broncos have seen the under cash in back-to-back games. The under is 3-2 overall for the Pats, 1-1 at home. They are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS in Foxboro this season.
So who covers the spread in tonight’s game? Become a member today and find out. You will quickly learn that FiveStarPick.com is a top NFL handicapper. NFL picks are our specialty and have been since we started in the business in 1990. We cannot believe that was 18 years ago. Time flies when you’re making money. Our membership has jumped from 600 off-season members to over 1900 this football season and it’s for one reason and one reason only…we win! We are the most accurate sports handicapping service on the net and we will never give you a play that we are not heavily on ourselves. As a matter of fact, our NFL Picks are so strong that they can move the line up to a full point within seconds of being published to our members. It’s time to come down off the fence and join for 1 year. A one year membership is only $99.00 and it will pay for itself in the 1st week. We are nearly 65% against the spread in 2008 and our forte, College and NFL Football Picks, are just beginning. You owe it to yourself to discover the benefits of membership. Join today and start winning tonight.
Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com


