The 2010 Bowl Season continues on January 4th and the pros at FiveStarPick.com are working overtime to analyze the  Fiesta Bowl between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Boise State Broncos.  Las Vegas Sportsbooks list  TCU as 7.5-point favorites with a total of 55.

TCU (12-0 straight up, 8-3 against the spread) believed they would have a shot at the National Title game with a Texas loss, but they fell behind the Bearcats in the final BCS standings.

Boise State (13-0 SU, 8-4 Against The Spread) is looking to pick up its second BCS victory.  The Broncos averaged 42 ppg over their last seven wins this season and covered spreads as high as 30-points twice. The Broncos have an offensive line that has given up the fewest sacks in the nation (5) and their offensive unit leads the FBS in scoring (44.2 points per game). That kind of protection has allowed QB Kellen Moore to complete 65 percent of his passes for 3,325 yards, 39 touchdowns and only three interceptions.  Moore is tops in the nation in quarterback rating (167.4).

Boise State’s O Line doesn’t just prevent sacks, they also provide the blocking for the 20th most productive ground game in the nation (194.5 Rushing YPG). Their two stud running backs help as well.  Jeremy Avery has rushed for 1,131 yards and six scores, while Doug Martin has 723 yards and 14 touchdowns.

Last year these two teams met in the Poinsettia Bowl where TCU came away with a 17-16 win as a 3.5-point favorite. The Broncos were only able to muster 250 yards of total offense in that game, so Boise State will need to watch a lot of film and learn from last year’s mistakes to come away with a win in the Fiesta Bowl.

Texas Christian has one of the elite defenses in the country.  The Horned Frogs are 3rd in the country against the run (80.5 YPG) and 4th in the country defending the pass (152.8 YPG).  Their defensive line is averaging 2.7 sacks per game and TCU defensive end Jerry Hughes leads the nation with 11 ½ sacks.

TCU’s offense has playmakers too.  The Horned Frogs ranked 4th in the country in yards per game (469.1) this year. QB Andy Dalton was the Mountain West Conference’s Offensive Player of the Year completing 62 percent of his passes for 2,484 yards, 22 touchdowns and a passer rating of 159.6.

Dalton also has a good running game behind him.  The TCU rushing unit ranks 5th in the nation (256.5 YPG) on the ground behind 4 running backs.  Joseph Turner leads that crew with 732 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns.

Now let’s talk trends…The Broncos have been dogs only 7 times in the last 5 years going 2-4-1 Against The Spread in those meetings. TCU is 34-15 Against The Spread as a favorite under Gary Patterson. The Horned Frogs are 5-2 Against The Spread in the postseason since 2002. Boise State is 3-2 Against The Spread in its last five bowls appearances. TCU is 18-9 Against The Spread dating back to 1996 against the WAC, while Boise State is 4-0 Against The Spread in its 4 games as a dog against the Mountain West.

If you are wondering who will cover the spread in the Fiesta Bowl, try FiveStarPick.com and eliminate the guesswork. For only $19.99 you can test us out and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

FiveStarPick.com looks forward to another win tonight as we give our members the ATS winner of the Tostitos Fiesta Bowl which features the Ohio State Buckeyes and the Texas Longhorns.  Las Vegas sports books have listed the Longhorns as 8 point favorites with the total set at 51.5.

Ohio State entered the season with a new quarterback, Todd Boeckman. Chris “Beanie” Wells went down with a foot injury in the season opener against Youngstown State and Boeckman fell apart.  To add insult to serious injury, he then lost his starting job to true freshman Tyrelle Pryor.  Pryor completed 63 percent of his passes for 1,245 yards, had 12 touchdowns and just 4 interceptions.  But OSU’s numbers really aren’t that great…Ohio State ranks 105th nationally in passing, gaining just 148.1 yards per game through the air.

Ohio State’s rushing numbers must be off the charts, right?  But beleive it or not, they are only 28th in the nation in rushing by gaining 191.6 YPG on the ground.  Beanie Wells is OSU’s fuel and ranks 7th in the nation with 1,091 rushing yards and eight scores.  What’s more impressive is that he gained all of his yards in just nine games.  OSU will need Wells at the top of his game if they hope to beat the Longhorns tonight.

Texas doesn’t have a very big defensive line, averaging just 273.8 pounds per man, but they’re very fast and can stop the run.  In the 2008 season, they allowed just 73.6 rushing YPG and ranked 2nd in the nation amongst all teams in the FBS.  Texas’ D-Line leads the nation with 3.67 sacks per game and ranks 15th in the country with 7.08 tackles for a loss per game.

The ‘Horns offense will encounter a OSU defense with great fundamentals. Texas ranks 9th in the country in total offense this year by gaining 476.4 YPG. A big reason was Heisman candidate Colt McCoy.  McCoy completed 77 percent of his passes for 3,445 yards and threw 4 ½ touchdowns to every one interception.  McCoy slung the ball a lot to WR Jordan Shipley and WR Quan Crosby. Shipley averaged 12.4 yards per catch this season while leading the school with 11 touchdowns. Cosby caught 78 passes for 952 yards and eight scores.  Quiet the tandem.

This is just the third meeting all time between these college football powerhouses.  In their last head-to-head meeting, Ohio State won as a three-point road ‘dog, 24-7.  The Buckeyes have failed to win or cover in their last two BCS games, but were 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS in their first four appearances.  Texas is making its 3rd Bowl Championship Series appearance in as many years.

So who covers the spread in the Fiesta Bowl?  It’s time to step up your game, become a member of our family and find out.  Why not try our service out for 2-days and see if our talent for picking winners exceeds your expectations?  With over 2300 active members, you owe it to yourself to find out why FiveStarPick.com is the most accurate sports handicapping service on the net.  Our dime bettors won nearly $100K in 2008.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com