The pros at fivestarpick.com suffered a heartbreaking loss last night as we gave our members West Virginia -16.5.  The Mountaineers were up 35-17 with 2 minutes remaining and fell victim to a back door cover via a meaningless Colorado TD with time expiring.  Tonight we look to get back on track as we give our members the winner of Pitt @ Louisville.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list Pitt as 6.5 point road favorites with a total of 53.5

Louisville’s program (1-2 straight up, 1-1 against the spread) has been on a downward spiral since Bobby Petrino (41-9) left and Pittsburgh (3-1 SU, 2-1 against the spread) has shared in the same dissapointment under Dave Wannstedt. 

Pitt is playing its second road game in as many weeks and took a 31-17 lead late in the third quarter last week at North Carolina State. But Russell Wilson threw a pair of fourth-quarter touchdown passes to spark a North Carolina St. comeback victory, 38-31.  The Wolfpack covered as a 1 ½-point home dog.

In Pitt’s losing effort, Bill Stull threw for 206 yards and two TD passes without an interception. On the season, Stull has completed 65.6 percent of his throws for 746 yards with an outstanding 8/1 touchdown-interception ratio.  Pitt was not high on anyone’s depth chart this season with RB’s LeSean McCoy and LaRod Stephens-Howling going to the NFL, but redshirt freshman RB Dion Lewis has rushed for 493 yards and seven TDs and is averaging 5.7 yards per carry.

Louisville started off the season with a 30-10 home win over Indiana St. in a non-lined game.  The Cardinals then had a great shot at pulling an upset at Kentucky, but the Wildcats rallied in the fourth quarter to capture the victory.  Louisville still covered the spread as a 13-point road dog.  On the road at Utah last week, Louisville lost a 30-14 decision. The Utes covered as 14-point home favorites.

This is the 5th home dog spot for Louisville under Kragthorpe’s tenure. The Cards are 2-2 against the spread winning outright twice against Kansas St. and USF last season.  The Panthers are 5-6 ATS as road favorites under Wannstedt.

Louisville starting safety Terrence Simien remains “out” after suffering a kidney laceration in the loss at UK.  Starting LB Brandon Heath is “probable” after leaving last week’s game with a sprained ankle.  Pitt starting MLB Adam Gunn (ankle) is “probable” this week, reserve DE Tyler Tkach is “doubtful” with a foot injury and starting free safety Andrew Taglianetti is done for the season after tearing his ACL.

So who covers the spread in this matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com