The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to a solid day for our membership today in the NFL as we give our members the ’spread’ and ‘total’ winner in today’s AFC rivalry game between the Dolphins and Patriots.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Patriots as 11-point home favorites with a total of 46.  THIS LINE IS DEAD WRONG!

Last week, Miami’s special teams got the job done against the Jets as Ted Ginn, Jr. ran two kickoffs back for touchdowns in a 30-25 victory.  The Dolphins produced just over 100 yards of offense against the Jets, but got the ‘W’ and improved to 3-4 on the season.  If Miami can play their game, they could beat New England for the second time in two years at Gillette Stadium.  Their last trip to Foxboro resulted in a “Wildcat” offense 38-13 blowout.  The Patriots dusted the worthless Bucs in jolly ole England two weeks ago and are coming off a bye.

We have analyzed a lot of trends this week and here is what we know…New England has not been profitable in this spot, going 1-8 against the spread as a double-digit home favorite since 2007.  In addition, the Pats are 6-8 against the spread in their last 14 coming off a double digit cover.

The Dolphins are a perfect 5-0 ATS under Sparano on the road off a SU win, while going 6-1 against the spread in their last seven as a double-digit road underdog. Miami is 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven on the road against division opponents, including a pair of covers in their previous two trips to Foxboro.

So who covers the spread in Sunday’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off of a monster weekend in College and NFL football. With a 6-2 against the spread ledger in College Football on Saturday and a 3-0 against the spread mark in the NFL on Sunday, I would say our members had a few extra duckets in their sportsbook account this morning.  Which brings us to the Monday Night Football game tonight between the Jets and Dolphins. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Jets as 2.5-point road favorties with a total 36. The line has come down from 3.5 since yesterday.

The last time the Jets and Dolphins played against each other, the hype was all about Chad Pennington and Brett Favre having a shot at the AFC East title. Miami won on the road, 24-17, giving the Dolphins their first AFC East title since 2000 and erasing the 1-15 2007 season from everyone’s mind.  Since then, Favre has moved on to Minnesota, while Pennington is out for the season with a right shoulder injury suffered at San Diego.

The Jets are an impressive 3-1 straight up, thanks to a strong defense.  New York has allowed only 3 offensive touchdowns this season and they have played 4 teams that rank in the top half of the league in yards per game.

On the offensive side of the ball, Jets Rookie Mark Sanchez is leading the attack.  He has been incredibly stable with only 4 turnovers in his first 3 games. However, the Jets equaled that combined turnover amount in the New Orleans loss.  Sanchez had a 272-yard effort in the opening week win at Houston, 24-7, but has failed to throw for more than 175 yards in each of his last 3 games. Sanchez does have help at wide receiver with Braylon Edwards moving over from the Browns last offseason.

The Dolphins lead the NFL in rushing with pros Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams in the backfield. The Dolphins are still running the ”Wildcat” offense successfully with Ronnie Brown in a shotgun formation, but the running attack is not the only high statistical ranking they have, they also rank second in the league in rushing defense, only allowing 61 yards/game.

Miami has had one of the most difficult starting schedules, facing three playoff teams in the Falcons, Colts, and Chargers. The Dolphins started the season 0-3 straight-up and 0-3 against the spread. Miami was held below 300 yards in total offense in losses at Atlanta and San Diego, but rushed for 239 yards against Indianapolis in a 27-23 loss and 250 yards on the ground in a 38-10 blowout of Buffalo last week.

Chad Henne will be making his second career start on Monday, in place of the injured Pennington.  Henne was put in after Pennington went down in San Diego, but the Chargers eventually took the lead on a Phillip Rivers touchdown run, then sealed the game with a late game interception return for a touchdown off Henne for a 23-13 victory.

Now lets talk trends…The Jets are 8-2 SU their last ten meetings, while posting an 8-1-1 against the spread mark. The Dolphins are 3-8 against the spread at home, including a 1-4 against the spread record as a home ‘dog under Sparano. Since 2004, Miami is 4-12 against the spread at home off a SU victory, including a 1-5 against the spread mark last season.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com