The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to another winning day in the NFL postseason. Today we are hot on the AFC Championship game between the New York Jets and the Indianapolis Colts.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Colts as 7-point home favorites with a total of 39.

The Colts (15-2 straight up, 10-4-1 against the spread) held onto a 15-10 lead over the Jets in Week 16 with just over five minutes left in the third quarter when they decided to pull their starters. Backup quarterback Curtis Painter was sacked by Calvin Pace, fumbled, and Marques Douglas ran the ball back for the go-head touchdown. The Jets (11-7 SU, 11-7 Against The Spread) won the game as 4-point road ‘dogs, 29-15.

Oh the irony. If the Colts had kept in their starters and won that game, the Jets would have been virtually eliminated from the playoff picture.  Now, Peyton Manning has to beat the Jets to get to the Super Bowl.  So cool. 

New York has the best rushing offense in the NFL averaging 172.3 yards per game and Shonn Greene has been impressive in the playoffs with 263 rushing yards and two scores. The Jets have needed their rushing game to have a chance with Mark Sanchez under center. Sanchez has completed 63.2 percent of his passes for 282 yards and 2 touchdowns in the playoffs, but the rookie only had 23 pass attempts against the Chargers, completing 12 of them for 100 yards.  Sanchez has only five games this year where he has thrown the ball more than 30 times.

Sanchez should be pretty nervous today, because the Colts defese is playing with high intensity right now.  The Colts gave up just 87 yards on the ground and 183 through the air to Baltimore, winning 20-3 as 6.5-point home favorites.  Joe Flacco was picked twice in the final two minutes of the game.  The Colts are 14th in the league against the pass, giving up just 212.7 YPG.  Sanchez figured that out quickly as he only threw for 106 yards against them in Week 16. The Colt’s achilles heel is defending against the run. Indianapolis has the NFL’s 24th-ranked rush defense, allowing 126.5 rushing YPG.

What the Colt’s do have is the best quarterback the league has ever seen in Peyton Manning.  Manning has a relatively new receiveing corp since his last Super Bowl win, but he’s still getting major contribution out of Reggie Wayne (100 receptions, 1,264 yards, 10 TD) and Dallas Clark (100 catches, 1,106 yards, 10 TD).  He is also getting great performances out of second-year wideout Pierre Garcon (47 rec., 765 yards, 4 TD) and rookie Austin Collie (60 rec., 676 yards, 7 TD).

Indy needs the passing game to click because the Colts are the worst running attack in the NFL, gaining 80.9 YPG on the ground.  Joseph Addai has 828 rushing yards and 10 touchdowns and Donald Brown has 281 yards on the ground with three scores, but that’s it.

Success for the Colts on offense is definitely not a lock today. The Jets are giving up 312.5 YPG in the playoffs right now and Darrelle Revis anchors the best pass defense in the league with an average of 153.7 YPG during the regular season.

Recent history for the AFC Title Game shows the favorites have gone 4-3 Against The Spread in the last seven games. The ‘over’ has gone 5-2 in that stretch as well.

Who covers the spread in this AFC Championship game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off a monster Saturday going 3-0 against the spread for our members. As a matter of fact, we are 14-1 against the spread in our last 15. Damn that’s some good stuff!!! If you want to dive deeper into the FiveStar legend, our members went 5-0 against the spread in the NFL last week…But enough about us. Today we are giving our members two (2) plays in the NFL.  The focus of this preview is the 4pm matchup between the Buffalo Bills and New York Jets.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Jets as 9-point favorites with a total of 36.5.

Coach Rex Ryan is looking for redemption.  After taking the Jets to their first 3-0 start in years, they have lost their last two (2) games both straight up and against the spread.  Today, the Jets may have an ideal chance to change course against the crappy Buffalo Bills who are on their own 3-game losing streak.

New York (3-2 straight up, 3-2 against the spread) won there first three games behind a superb defense that allowed 11.0 PPG and 256.0 YPG while forcing 7 turnovers. Ryan’s Jets had the same swagger he instilled in his defense in Baltimore, where he spent the last 10 years. The Jets defense, however, seems to have lost their swagger in consecutive losses. The unit allowed 343 yards in a 24-10 defeat at New Orleans on Oct. 4 and gave up season highs in passing yards (262) and total yardage (413) en route to a 31-27 defeat at Miami on Monday night. (FiveStarPick.com gave its members the Dolphins +2.5 and the Over 36 in that game…both winners.)

Despite the back-to-back losses, New York is tied for first in the AFC East with the Pats and the Buffalo Bills (1-4 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) might just be the ticket to getting that Jet defense back on track.

Buffalo has lost their last two games to winless teams while totaling an abysmal 494 yards of total offense and turning the ball over six times.  The Bills committed 13 penalties in a 6-3 loss to Cleveland in Week 5, which brings the Bills win total to 4 in their last 17 games under Dick Jauron.  In addition, Buffalo has been outscored 71-20 during their three-game skid and Edwards hasn’t been able to open up a passing attack with wide receivers Terrell Owens and Lee Evans. They each have 12 catches and a touchdown while combining for 361 yards.

So who covers the spread in today’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off of a monster weekend in College and NFL football. With a 6-2 against the spread ledger in College Football on Saturday and a 3-0 against the spread mark in the NFL on Sunday, I would say our members had a few extra duckets in their sportsbook account this morning.  Which brings us to the Monday Night Football game tonight between the Jets and Dolphins. Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Jets as 2.5-point road favorties with a total 36. The line has come down from 3.5 since yesterday.

The last time the Jets and Dolphins played against each other, the hype was all about Chad Pennington and Brett Favre having a shot at the AFC East title. Miami won on the road, 24-17, giving the Dolphins their first AFC East title since 2000 and erasing the 1-15 2007 season from everyone’s mind.  Since then, Favre has moved on to Minnesota, while Pennington is out for the season with a right shoulder injury suffered at San Diego.

The Jets are an impressive 3-1 straight up, thanks to a strong defense.  New York has allowed only 3 offensive touchdowns this season and they have played 4 teams that rank in the top half of the league in yards per game.

On the offensive side of the ball, Jets Rookie Mark Sanchez is leading the attack.  He has been incredibly stable with only 4 turnovers in his first 3 games. However, the Jets equaled that combined turnover amount in the New Orleans loss.  Sanchez had a 272-yard effort in the opening week win at Houston, 24-7, but has failed to throw for more than 175 yards in each of his last 3 games. Sanchez does have help at wide receiver with Braylon Edwards moving over from the Browns last offseason.

The Dolphins lead the NFL in rushing with pros Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams in the backfield. The Dolphins are still running the ”Wildcat” offense successfully with Ronnie Brown in a shotgun formation, but the running attack is not the only high statistical ranking they have, they also rank second in the league in rushing defense, only allowing 61 yards/game.

Miami has had one of the most difficult starting schedules, facing three playoff teams in the Falcons, Colts, and Chargers. The Dolphins started the season 0-3 straight-up and 0-3 against the spread. Miami was held below 300 yards in total offense in losses at Atlanta and San Diego, but rushed for 239 yards against Indianapolis in a 27-23 loss and 250 yards on the ground in a 38-10 blowout of Buffalo last week.

Chad Henne will be making his second career start on Monday, in place of the injured Pennington.  Henne was put in after Pennington went down in San Diego, but the Chargers eventually took the lead on a Phillip Rivers touchdown run, then sealed the game with a late game interception return for a touchdown off Henne for a 23-13 victory.

Now lets talk trends…The Jets are 8-2 SU their last ten meetings, while posting an 8-1-1 against the spread mark. The Dolphins are 3-8 against the spread at home, including a 1-4 against the spread record as a home ‘dog under Sparano. Since 2004, Miami is 4-12 against the spread at home off a SU victory, including a 1-5 against the spread mark last season.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Jimmy the Geek – FiveStarPick.com