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Posts Tagged ‘Patriots Spread’

Jets @ Patriots – AFC Divisional Playoff Picks Against The Spread

Sunday, January 16th, 2011

The pros at FiveStarPick.com have been crunching stats, trends, key matchups and injury reports to give our members today’s winners in the AFC Divisional Playoffs.  The New England Patriots are favored by 9-points over the New York Jets with a total of 44.5.  This line is DEAD WRONG!

The smack has been thick this week leading up to the third round between these two teams. Actually, most of the trash talk has come from the Jets’ side, as New York tries for its fourth road playoff win in five tries after last Saturday’s last-second victory over the Colts.

Nick Folk’s 32-yard field goal as time expired gave the Jets a 17-16 victory over the Colts, avenging last season’s AFC Championship loss. LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for two touchdowns, while Mark Sanchez had limited mistakes to give the Jets another try at the Patriots.

New England has been sitting pretty over the last two months with eight consecutive wins; and their offense has delivered at least 31 points in each of the last eight victories, while knocking off the Steelers, Colts, Packers, Bears, and Jets during that stretch.

The Patriots’ 45-3 December smack down of the Jets on Monday night in Foxboro proved once again the Patriots won’t let up if given the opportunity. Especially agains a Rex Ryan team.  New England jumped out to a quick 17-0 first quarter lead, then Tom Brady went to work picking apart the Jets’ secondary with four touchdown passes. The Patriots’ defense confused Sanchez all night, while intercepting him three times to easily cover as four-point home favorites.

The Patriots are 9-1 on the ‘over’ the last 10 games, while allowing four of their last five opponents to seven points or less. For a team that finished the regular season at 14-2, New England was listed as a nine-point favorite only three times, including twice against the hapless Bills. The only other occurrence as a long favorite came in Week 15 when the Packers played without Aaron Rodgers and the Pats escaped with a 31-27 victory as 14-point favorite.

The low-scoring Wild Card win over the Colts was the first ‘under’ on the road for the Jets this season in nine tries. New York is a profitable 7-5 Against The Spread as a road underdog, but two of those losses have come in blowout fashion in Foxboro. Since a five-game Against The Spread winning streak through September and October, the Jets are just 5-6 Against The Spread, while going 1-4 Against The Spread off a cover the last two months.

The total is set between 44 and 44 ½, with temperatures hovering in the high 20’s and low 30’s around gametime. Things get underway at 4:30 PM EST at Gillette Stadium and will be televised nationally on CBS.

This game is not an easy game to handicap, but the pros at FiveStarPick.com have broken down every stat, trend and injury report on this game to provide our members with two winning plays tonight.  Try FiveStarPick.com today for only ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking NFL pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business that documents our last 30 plays along with our last 5 years results, then displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…our system just wins games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Dolphins @ Patriots – Winning NFL Picks Against The Spread

Friday, November 6th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are looking forward to a solid day for our membership today in the NFL as we give our members the ’spread’ and ‘total’ winner in today’s AFC rivalry game between the Dolphins and Patriots.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Patriots as 11-point home favorites with a total of 46.  THIS LINE IS DEAD WRONG!

Last week, Miami’s special teams got the job done against the Jets as Ted Ginn, Jr. ran two kickoffs back for touchdowns in a 30-25 victory.  The Dolphins produced just over 100 yards of offense against the Jets, but got the ‘W’ and improved to 3-4 on the season.  If Miami can play their game, they could beat New England for the second time in two years at Gillette Stadium.  Their last trip to Foxboro resulted in a “Wildcat” offense 38-13 blowout.  The Patriots dusted the worthless Bucs in jolly ole England two weeks ago and are coming off a bye.

We have analyzed a lot of trends this week and here is what we know…New England has not been profitable in this spot, going 1-8 against the spread as a double-digit home favorite since 2007.  In addition, the Pats are 6-8 against the spread in their last 14 coming off a double digit cover.

The Dolphins are a perfect 5-0 ATS under Sparano on the road off a SU win, while going 6-1 against the spread in their last seven as a double-digit road underdog. Miami is 5-1-1 against the spread in their last seven on the road against division opponents, including a pair of covers in their previous two trips to Foxboro.

So who covers the spread in Sunday’s game?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for only ($19.99) and get all of our Sunday NFL winners as well as tomorrow night’s Monday Night Football play.  See if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to see.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley– FiveStarPick.com

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