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Posts Tagged ‘Saints Betting Advice’

Patriots @ Saints – Monday Night Football Picks Against The Spread

Monday, November 30th, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com, like many around the country, are really looking forward to this Monday Night matchup between two of the NFL’s top talents.  The undefeated New Orleans Saints are entering their toughest test of the season against a very skilled and crafty Patriots team.  Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Saints as 1.5 point home favorites with a total of 57.

The Saints have been lighting up defenses this year and have achieved their best start in franchise history at 10-0. They average 420.5 yards/game and are scoring 36.9 ppg. For our purposes, the Saints have been a double-digit favorite in each of their last four games, covering the spread in only one of the contests, a 31-7 blowout of the Bucs as 10-point road favorties.

As a single-digit favorite, the Saints are a perfect 5-0 against the spread and three of those victories came on the road in Philadelphia, Buffalo, and Miami. Very impressive.

When you think about the Saints, you automatically think Drew Brees and his 22 touchdown passes, but New Orleans really does have offensive balance. Pierre Thomas, Reggie Bush and Mike Bell have combined for 14 rushing touchdowns this year and their team is averaging 154.3 yards/game on the ground.

The Patriots have seven victories and six were in front of the home crowd, so the road hasn’t been that kind to this Patriots team. The Pats are 1-2-1 against the spread this year on the road, and thier lone cover came against the Bucs in London, 35-7.  Their last two losses on the road were kind of embarrassing for the Patriots coaching staff.  In Week 5 the Pats had a 17-7 halftime lead in Denver, then failed to score in the second half and lost 20-17 in overtime. And of course we all remember Week 10 at Indy…not only did the Pats have Fourth and Two Gate, but the Patriots turned the ball over twice in the end zone.  That game should have been a blowout, instead Peyton Manning led the Colts down for the go-ahead touchdown to keep the Colts unbeaten in a 35-34 winner.  Our members still managed the cover as the Pats were getting 2-points.

Amazingly, the Patriots have won 17 straight “regular season” games against the NFC dating back to 2005.  It was Carolina in Week 2 that managed their last regular season upset.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

Falcons @ Saints – Monday Night Football Picks Against The Spread

Monday, November 2nd, 2009

The pros at FiveStarPick.com are coming off an unprecedented 3 days of touting college football and major league baseball.  A week that hasn’t reared its head in over 18 years of gambling on sports.  We along with our over 3000 members went 0-8 against the spread in our last 8 and lost thousands last week.  Having said that, we were on a 32-15 against the spread run in our last 47 prior to the 0-8 stretch, but a losing stretch like this is beyond anything we have ever experienced.  It’s a marathon not a sprint and I can promise you we WILL be back on top.  Thanks to all our members for your patience. Now…on to tonight.

Las Vegas sportsbooks list the Saints as 12.5-point home favorites with a total of 55.  The Saints are coming into this Divisional showdown ranked as the top offense in the NFL.  They are 1st in the league in yards per game (427.3) and are scoring just a hair under 40 points an outing (39.7).

Two weeks ago, the Saints embarrassed the Giants in the Superdome, 48-27. New Orleans got to the end zone in five of its six first-half possessions and Brees threw four touchdown passes.  Last week the Saints were down 24-3 to Miami, but New Orleans scored the final 22 points of the game to win 46-34, covering for the sixth straight time.

The Falcons sit at 4-2 and two games back of the Saints in the NFC South. Atlanta started the season off right winning consecutive home games over Miami and Carolina, but the Falcons fell at Foxboro in Week 3 to the Patriots, 26-10.  The week following its bye week the Falcons pummeled San Francisco, 45-10, and then lost to Dallas last week, 37-21.

The home team won both meetings last season and both games finished ‘over’ the total. In Week 10 last year, the Falcons stomped on the Saints, 34-20, despite Brees throwing for 422 yards. Atlanta’s Michael Turner grinded out 96 yards and a touchdown.

In Week 14 at the Superdome, the Saints returned the favor winning 29-25, covering as three-point favorites. Brees threw for just 230 yards, but did not toss an interception.

Now let’s talk trends…Since Sean Payton took the reigns in New Orleans, the Saints are just 3-9 against the spread as a home favorite against an opponent coming off a straight up loss. The Falcons have been a strong play off a loss, going 8-1 against the spread their last nine in that spot.  Atlanta is 5-7 straight up and against the spread under Smith on the road, but this is the highest number the Falcons have seen as a ‘dog since the start of last season.  Favorites are 4-4 against the spread on Monday Night Football this season, while home teams have the same record.

So who covers the spread in tonight’s Monday Night Football matchup?  It’s very easy to find out.  Try FiveStarPick.com tonight for just ($19.99) and see if our talent for picking college and pro football winners exceeds your expectations.  We are the only sports handicapping service in the business who documents wins and losses and displays them on our homepage for all to witness.  It’s because we have nothing to hide…we just win games against the spread.  Join our family today and start your winning streak tonight.

Rick Riley – FiveStarPick.com

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